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- Aquarius Investments Issue 8
Aquarius Investments Issue 8
Harsh Truth
Investor Quote of the Week
"Wide diversification is only required when investors do not understand what they are doing."
Quote Meaning
By diversifying the "risks," these investors pretty much match the returns of the general stock market index, like the S&P 500.
In fact, they might even fall behind the market if they consistently trade in and out of their diversified stock portfolio.
In summary, this is what Buffett wants you to understand:
Expertise and Knowledge: Buffett suggests that investors who have a deep understanding of the companies they invest in don't need to diversify widely. They can focus their investments on a smaller number of high-quality opportunities where they have strong conviction and understanding.
Confidence in Investment Choices: If an investor knows what they are doing, they can confidently invest in fewer stocks, believing these choices will perform well. They don't feel the need to spread their investments thinly across many assets to mitigate risk.
Risk Management: Spreading investments across various assets through wide diversification is a common strategy to manage risk. Buffett implies that this approach is a safeguard for those who may lack the knowledge or expertise to make well-informed investment decisions.
Stock Diversification (Source: Investopedia)
By taking a more focused investment approach, you can build a highly concentrated portfolio of businesses you know very well.
Nugget of Wisdom
Market Volatility is Unavoidable.
What do I mean by that?
Market volatility refers to the frequency and magnitude of price movements in financial markets.
This can manifest as rapid increases or decreases in the value of assets, often measured by metrics such as the Volatility Index (VIX).
Volatility can be caused by various factors, including economic data releases, geopolitical events, changes in interest rates, and market sentiment.
In the stock market, causes of market volatility include:
Economic Indicators: Reports on GDP growth, unemployment rates, inflation, and consumer confidence can cause significant market reactions. Positive data can drive prices up, while negative data can lead to declines.
Geopolitical Events: Wars, elections, trade disputes, and other geopolitical events can create uncertainty, leading to sharp market movements.
Interest Rate Changes: Central banks, like the Federal Reserve, influence market volatility through their monetary policies. Rate hikes or cuts can have significant impacts on various asset classes.
Corporate Earnings: Quarterly earnings reports and corporate announcements can lead to large swings in stock prices, especially if the results deviate from market expectations.
Market Sentiment: Investor psychology and sentiment can drive volatility. Fear and greed often lead to overreactions in both directions.
It's important for investors to understand that volatility is just a part of life.
Volatility S&P 500 Index
To manage the volatility of your investments:
Dollar-Cost Averaging: Investing a fixed amount regularly, regardless of market conditions, can reduce the impact of volatility by averaging the purchase price of investments over time.
Maintaining a Long-term Perspective: Focusing on long-term goals and ignoring short-term noise can help you stay on course during volatile periods.
Building a Cash Reserve: Having a cash reserve can provide liquidity and reduce the need to sell investments at a loss during market downturns.
Mistakes to Avoid
Never marry a stock.
"Never marry a stock" means avoiding emotional attachment to any particular stock.
Just because you’re passionate about a company and its mission does not mean you should hold the shares if the business model is impaired beyond recognition.
You'll need to know when to fold them.
For example, suppose you invested in Blockbuster stock in the early 2000s, when it was a leading video rental company.
If you became emotionally attached to the stock and ignored the rise of digital streaming and competitors like Netflix, you might have held onto Blockbuster despite its declining performance.
As a result, you would have suffered significant losses when Blockbuster eventually went bankrupt.
Blockbuster Stock Price (Source: The Adaptive Marketer)
Shares fell to zero.
Stock of the Week
Factset Research Systems Inc. (Ticker: FDS)
FDS Stock Price
Company Description
FactSet Research Systems Inc. is a global provider of integrated financial information, analytical applications and services for the investment and corporate communities. FactSet's goal is to provide a seamless user experience spanning idea generation, research, portfolio construction, trade execution, performance measurement, risk management, reporting, and portfolio analysis, in which the Company serves the front, middle, and back offices to drive productivity and improved performance.
Profitability Metrics
5-year average EBIT margin: 300%
5-year average net-income margin: 24%
5-year average return on equity: 42%
Growth Metrics
Revenue growth 5-year average (year-on-year): 9%
EBIT growth 5-year average (year-on-year): 11%
I'm investing over $30,000 of my own money in the stock market to show you how I invest, based on my 15+ year investing experience.
I aim to demonstrate my approach to investing and choosing securities.
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Valuable Lessons from 15+ Years of Experience
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This is a real portfolio to show how long-term investing actually works.
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Talk soon,
Sam