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- Aquarius Investments Issue 15
Aquarius Investments Issue 15
Confusing Times
Investor Quote of the Week
“The most important quality for an investor is temperament, and not intellect.”
Quote Meaning
Investors are emotional beings.
We're all humans, after all.
Having patience and the ability to think rationally during challenging times is a skill that can be taught but is difficult to execute in practice.
Emotional investors have a few bad habits:
Buying High, Selling Low: They buy when prices are high out of excitement and sell when prices drop out of fear, leading to losses.
Overreacting: They react quickly to short-term market movements, making quick decisions instead of sticking to a long-term plan.
Abandoning Their Plan: They let emotions lead them away from their original investment strategy, which can result in poor decisions and unbalanced portfolios.
Staying calm and sticking to a plan can help avoid these mistakes.
Warren Buffett has practiced patience for a long time, often holding a lot of cash until the right opportunity comes along.
GameStop frenzy = Lots of irrational behavior
Nugget of Wisdom
The future is not clear.
Investors are wondering what’s next for the market.
Western markets are at all-time highs; China markets are at all-time lows.
Globally, interest rates have been high to combat inflation, and now they are gradually declining.
These are fascinating times.
Many investors are struggling to figure out how to best allocate capital.
If the markets start crashing, central banks are likely to cut interest rates to boost spending and prevent an economic crisis.
At the same time, inflationary pressures will likely rise again as markets move upwards due to lower rates, hurting everyone in the process (especially non-home owners).
If that is confusing, then you’re not alone.
However, as an experienced investor, let me say this:
Nobody has a crystal ball.
If you know where to look, you can find value in various places.
For example, companies like Nike are on my radar, having come down a lot from a valuation perspective in recent months.
Nike Stock Price (Ticker: NKE)
The lesson is:
No matter where the market is, there are always opportunities.
Your goal is not to time the general market index, but rather to invest over the long term.
If you find individual assets you like, such as stocks or bonds, allocate a suitable amount of capital to your ideas based on your risk preferences.
Mistakes to Avoid
Don’t buy complex financial products.
Banks and other financial institutions love to overcomplicate financial products.
If they can't explain a financial product in 2 minutes, don't buy it.
Remember mortgage-backed securities (MBSs) in 2008?
Even bankers didn't know what was in those products or how leveraged they were.
They oversold them to clueless investors.
Always ask questions about the products being sold to you.
Always do your own research (DYOR).
Banks that pushed the Ark Innovation ETF didn’t even beat the S&P 500 Index
Stock of the Week
Sherwin-Williams Co.(Ticker: SHW)
Sherwin-Williams Co. Stock Price
Company Description
The Sherwin-Williams Co. engages in the development, manufacture, distribution, and sale of paint and coatings. It operates through the following segments: America Group, Consumer Brands Group, and Performance Coating Group. The America Group segment manages the exclusive outlets for Sherwin-Williams branded paints, stains, supplies, equipment, and floor coverings. The Consumer Brands Group segment sells portfolios of branded and private-label products and operates a global supply chain for paint and coatings. The Performance Coating Group segment offers coatings and finishes, and sells in the industrial wood, protective and marine, coil, packaging, and automotive markets.
The company was founded by Henry Sherwin and Edward Williams in 1866 and is headquartered in Cleveland, OH.
Profitability Metrics
5-year average EBIT margin: 14.3%
5-year average net-income margin: 9.7%
5-year average return on capital (TTM): 12.3%
Growth Metrics
Revenue growth 5-year average (year-on-year): 5.6%
EBIT growth 5-year average (year-on-year): 14.5%
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Talk soon,
Sam